Eviction Impact Assessment (Evia) Research Consultancy Services for Jowhar, Baidoa, Kismayo & Mogadishu

Norwegian Refugee Council
Mogadishu, Somalia, Somalia
Protection and Human Rights

Job Description

Terms of Reference A comprehensive Eviction Impact Assessment (EvIA) to broaden contextual understanding of the eviction phenomenon across four strategic towns in Somalia: Mogadishu, Kismayo, Garowe, and Baidoa. Location : Somalia Duration : 45 working days (August - October 2025) Critical interface : Head of Programme, ICLA Specialist, Durable Solutions Manager, Area Managers, HLP focal points Consultancy types International Background and Context Somalia continues to face a complex humanitarian crisis marked by widespread displacement and chronic vulnerability. An estimated 3.5 million people are internally displaced, with approximately 180,000 people being evicted each year, with the majority residing in overcrowded, informal settlements across urban and peri-urban areas. The drivers of displacement are multifaceted, with prolonged droughts, combined with recent floods and ongoing military offensives, intensifying insecurity and contributing to climate-induced migration. These crises have overwhelmed local coping mechanisms, eroded livelihoods, and placed additional pressure on urban land and services. Although concerted efforts by the government and international partners have positioned Somalia on a positive trajectory towards recovery, the legacy of protracted instability is being exacerbated by intermittent climatic shocks, insecurity, and evictions. Forced evictions remain among the most severe and prevalent protection threats in Somalia, representing both a cause and a multiplier of the displacement crises. Congested cities with weak urban systems are struggling to cope as the complex interplay between natural hazards, climatic shocks, conflict, and insecurity continues to drive mass displacements across the country. Insecure tenure arrangements remain a key driver of forced evictions, particularly in major cities like Mogadishu, where more than 66% of the country’s evictions have occurred this year alone. Since January 2025, over 99,074 people [1] have been forcibly evicted, often without prior notice or access to alternative housing, leaving thousands exposed to homelessness and further protection risks. Despite efforts by humanitarian actors and local authorities, responses to evictions remain fragmented. Mechanisms such as the Bay Eviction Task Force [2] in Baidoa have demonstrated localized success in preventing evictions; however, institutional frameworks at both national and municipal levels remain weak. Humanitarian organizations have also documented significant financial and infrastructure losses resulting from repeated evictions, which undermine durable solutions and community resilience. A 2024 study by the NRC estimates that millions of dollars are lost in informal shelter construction and service investments. The intertwining dynamics of protracted displacement, forced evictions, and insecure tenure arrangements continue to erode the overall protective environment in Somalia. These persistent negative trends undermine humanitarian investments and exacerbate protection challenges, affecting the safety, health, dignity, and livelihoods of displaced communities. In this evolving context, there is a critical need for a comprehensive Eviction Impact Assessment to generate evidence-based insights that can inform policy decisions, strengthen tenure security, and uphold the right to adequate housing for vulnerable populations across Somalia. OBJECTIVES AND SCOPE The study will comprehensively explore why eviction continues to persist and then conduct a thorough review of the adequacy of ongoing efforts, or their inadequacy. Specific objectives include: Assess and catalogue existing legal, administrative, policy frameworks, and customary laws that are applicable or relevant to the protection of general HLP rights, but with a thematic emphasis on eviction programming. Analyze multi-dimensional impacts of forced evictions: social, economic, cultural factors, investment-related, and factors promoting and/or sustaining the eviction phenomenon. Analyze the Socio-Economic Costs of Evictions, including quantifying direct and indirect individual, communal, and humanitarian losses (e.g., housing, livelihoods, social ties), and assessing fiscal impacts on governments and aid agencies, such as the costs of relocation, compensation, and support. Evaluate gender-specific impacts of Forced Evictions, current compensation policies, restitution, and relocation practices. Assess the appropriateness, adequacy, relevance, and effectiveness of ongoing eviction programmes. What is working, what are the gaps, what can be improved, and what needs to be incorporated? Advance practical and pragmatic actionable recommendations for policy, institutional strengthening, and implementation strategies to address the eviction phenomenon effectively. Recommendations should address gaps, deficiencies, and other inadequacies identified for each of the objectives specified earlier. Proposed Methodology The methods expected of the consultant/consultancy firm would include a comprehensive desk review of relevant literature, published reports, and statistics, as well as an analysis of raw datasets. [3] , as well as the conduct of key informant interviews. The information gathered would be thoroughly analyzed from multiple perspectives, employing various techniques and statistical procedures. To gauge the perception, the consultant will be required to survey a purposively sampled number of key government, humanitarian, and community stakeholders, including cluster coordinators. The expected sample frame shall encompass, but not be limited to: Relevant Government Line Ministries (Ministry of Public Works, Ministry of Interior, Local businesses in a range of sectors across target regions Local government authorities (NCRI) and municiplaities Business, financial service providers, and Trade associations, where active Private sector groups and representatives Heads of agencies of local government that are responsible for or involved in eviction prevention and response. Senior officials of the municipality of Baidoa Landlords IDP leaders/gatekeepers A cross-section of settlement leaders Representatives of humanitarian organisations Cluster and sub-cluster coordinators. Selected members of the Eviction Taskforce The HLP sub-cluster Scope of Work A. Geographic Focus Mogadishu (Banaadir) Kismayo (Lower Juba) Garowe (Puntland) Baidoa (Southwest) Expected Deliverables An inception report, including planned timeline and work plan, literature review of all relevant secondary sources, detailed methodology/approach, planned stakeholders to be consulted, data collection and analysis tools, and qualitative and quantitative protocols for data collection and analysis. A comprehensive report of not more than 30 pages consisting of a cover page, table of contents with figure tagging, an executive summary, report details interspersed with data visualisation charts and graphs, key findings, and recommendations. A condensed 3-5 pager of executive summary, key findings, and recommendations for advocacy purposes. Not less than 10 pages of a PowerPoint presentation. All of the data collection tools and data collected (raw, summarized, or otherwise). Desired Profile and expertise The consultant will work in close collaboration with the NRC HLP team and the HLP AoR. The consultant will possess multidisciplinary expertise, with proven research experience and relevant knowledge in data analysis and protection/legal analysis. The following are the desired profile and qualification requirements. Advanced degree/MSc degree Law, Social Science, Development Studies, Public Policy Management, and other related fields. Not less than 3 consecutive years’ experience of conducting legal and protection analysis, research, and programme development. A demonstrated track record of carrying out a similar type of assessment (sample to be attached when applying). Excellent analytical and writing skills. Familiarity with the socio-political and humanitarian trends in Somalia. A working knowledge of the local language will be an asset. A solid and diversified experience within the Protection or legal aid sector will be desirable. Tentative Schedule Inception Meeting with the research steering committee Inception report Desk review of relevant literature, reports, statistics, and datasets. Development, pre-testing, and validation of the survey questionnaire Finalization of assessment tools, including scripting of questions on ODK/Kobo tools Data collection – to be carried out remotely or through an alternative arrangement with the infield staff. Data analysis and preparation of the draft report Validation of draft report Final Report 3-pager executive summary and recommendations PowerPoint presentation Note: The time limit for each activity and deliverable will be agreed upon with the consultant. Institutional arrangements The steering committee will approve the deliverables. The consultant/firm will be expected to arrange and cover the costs of the consultancy fee, as well as all other logistics associated with the assignment. The NRC will provide valid project documents and data to inform this exercise. Duration of work The work is expected to be completed within 45 working days; the exact timing will depend on the final agreement with NRC. Travel: Travel to Mogadishu, Kismayo, Garowe, and Baidoa is required for this consultancy (this will be discussed further during the inception meeting). However, should the consultant propose alternatives, the consultant must provide a clear plan, measures, and/or demonstrate partnerships with local researchers to support data collection and engagement, thereby achieving a better contextual understanding. The NRC could support the consultant in mobilizing communities, engaging with the government, and planning travel. Application process and requirements The application must include the following information: A technical proposal, including the proposed study design, study methodology, comments on the terms of reference, timetable, and proposed work plan (max 5 pages). A financial proposal (max. 3 pages) separates from the technical proposal, including all taxes and covering the costs of travel to the site, food, accommodation, etc. Include the final creative product design and layout (please indicate the currency). Resumes of consultants. Two references for the firm and/or each of the proposed consultants At least two extracts from past work (minimum four pages per extract) A cover letter containing the following information: a description of how the candidate's skills, qualifications, and experience meet the requirements of the assignment, a list of previous assessments relevant to the context and purpose of this assignment, and a statement confirming the candidate's availability to carry out the assignment. [1] https://somevictions.app.nrc.no/ [2] https://www.nrc.no/globalassets/pdf/reports/i-want-my-land/i-want-my-land---baidoa-case-study.pdf?utm_source=chatgpt.com [3] Datasets in this context shall include i) eviction monitoring, ii) prevention data dumb, eviction risk and settlement geo-mapping data.

How to Apply

Consultants or firms that meet the above requirements are invited to download the complete tender documents free of charge from the Digital Procurement System (DPS). Eligible applicants must submit a comprehensive administrative, technical, and financial proposal via the NRC Digital Procurement System (DPS) not later than 23rd August 2025 at 11:59PM. [https://eaydps.nrc.no/tender/details/9f93af72-1618-4da1-8d67-427a4b20d755](https://eaydps.nrc.no/tender/details/9f93af72-1618-4da1-8d67-427a4b20d755) If you have any technical difficulties in accessing the tender documents, please contact the following email address: [email protected] for assistance, considering that NRC will not share the bids via email as all bidders must Register and download the tender documents from the Digital Tendering System.

Job Details

Posted: August 13, 2025
Deadline: August 23, 2025 (4 days left)
Organization: Norwegian Refugee Council
Location: Mogadishu, Somalia, Somalia
Sector: Protection and Human Rights